Dallas is a middle-of-the-pack team in terms of five-on-five goals for/against. They are 15th in the NHL at 0.99. Of course, the Blues are among the league’s most capable teams at even strength, and are currently third in that department at 1.39. While these ratios appear to favor St. Louis, there’s a bit more to it than meets the eye.
The Stars are an outstanding team when it comes to shot production, and are sixth in the league with an average of 31.7 shots taken per game. If the Blues have a weakness, it’s that don’t shoot a whole lot. Would that be a difference maker across a seven-game series? Perhaps.
While Dallas takes a ton of shots, they simply don’t sport the scoring depth to match a healthy St. Louis team line for line. Seguin leads the team with 76 points. Benn has 70. The team’s third leading scorer is Alex Goligoski, who clips in at 37 points. That’s a monster drop off, and if Seguin and Benn go cold for even two or three games, it’d spell disaster for Dallas.