An argument can be made that Jordan Binnington is the best goalie in St.Louis Blues history. He made the best first impression possible, going 24-5-1 with a 927 save percentage and a league-leading 1.89 goals against average. He was also a big reason why the Blues went on that magical run to win the Stanley Cup in 2019. Since then, he's continued to be stalwart in the net, racking up a career save percentage of .907 and a 2.78 goals against average.
However, the biggest accomplishment of Binnington's career, and the biggest reason why he's the best goalie in Blues history, is his win total. He has racked up 173 wins over his 327 starts, the most in franchise history. With him entering his age-32 season and being under contract for another two seasons, the question is, how many more wins can he have?
How much distance can Jordan Binnington put between first and second place?
The easiest way to determine what Binnington's win total will be at the end of the 2026-27 season is to use his career averages. Binnington averages about 22 wins a season. This means that Binnington is expected to notch 44 wins over the next two seasons. This would give him 195 career wins, 44 more wins than second-place Mike Liut.
But the goalie win stat is not something you can perfectly predict. There are so many factors that go into whether a netminder wins a game. It's not something you can look at trends and try to predict. Stuff like goalie regression or the goalie letting in a bad goal can all turn a win into a loss. Similarly, a goalie can have a great game, yet if their offense struggles, they'll get tagged with the loss. So the win is just as much of a team stat as it is a goalie stat.
The play of the Blues is going to have a big say in how many wins Binnington can add. The Blues are expected to be competitive this season, but not a playoff lock. They should be battling for one of the two wild-card spots in the West. Over the past few seasons, a team has needed around 45 wins to clinch a playoff spot, so it's reasonable to assume the Blues will win between 35 and 45 games in 2025-26 and probably 2026-27 as well. If Binnington can start 50 games, he should be looking at a high 20s win total in both years.
There is also the question of what a possible extension for Binnington might look like. For all he's done for the organization, he's earned the right to be a Blue for his whole career. With him being 34 when his current contract ends, it's like any contract extension will be at most four years. His playing ability will likely regress during that contract, but he still should be good for about 20 wins each of those seasons.
If everything goes the way Binnington and the Blues hope, he should finish his career with well over 200 wins. He's guaranteed to add at least 50 over these next two years, and who knows how many he can achieve from there. Regardless of what number he lands on, it'll be a record that holds for a long time.