Justin Faulk has had some impressive seasons throughout his career, putting up 50 points in a single season just two years ago. For all that offense, however, Faulk gives a lot of it back; he hasn't posted positive Corsi-for or expected Goals-for percentages since his first season with the Blues in 2019-20, when he had 50.19 and 51.3, respectively. This year was more of the same: a decent number of points and stepping up in the absence of Torey Krug, but a mediocre defensive impact.
2024-25 Season Grade for Faulk
In 78 games, Faulk registered four goals and 28 assists--a total of 32 points--and a -9 rating. Under the hood, Faulk had a 46.17 CF% and a 48.51 xGF% at 5-on-5; that Corsi was the second worst mark among Blues defensemen, ahead of only Ryan Suter. All of those numbers are relatively in line with Faulk's prior seasons, and his PDO of .998 means it wasn't bad puck luck that sunk his impacts.
Faulk is what he is at this point: an offensive-oriented defenseman who gets overleveraged and has to take on a heavier workload with Krug's absence and Philip Broberg adjusting to his new team.
Of more concern is how Faulk disappeared in the playoffs: two points, 40.27 CF%, and 36.42 xGF% in his 5-on-5 minutes against the Winnipeg Jets. The Blues went on quite a surprise run late in the season, and came ever so close to the biggest round one upset of the year, but fell just short--Faulk's going to need to step up if St. Louis hopes to stay in the mix next season.
What to Expect from Faulk in 2025-26
As mentioned earlier, Faulk sort of is what he is at this point--leopard's can't change their spots and all that. Ideally, the Blues can find a way to shelter his minutes, but another option is on the table: a trade. On July 1, Faulk's contract changes from a full No-Trade Clause to a 15-team NTC. His value likely isn't all that high, but perhaps there is a deal to be struck to clear cap space and bring in a younger, more reliable player. Given how this team exceeded expectations and how we saw the Washington Capitals retool on the fly, management needs to get creative. If Faulk's still here next year, then here's hoping Jim Montgomery and the rest of the coaching staff find the right role for him to excel in.
Stats courtesy Natural Stat Trick